Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000129 0.000142 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193 0.000213 0.000237
2025-07-20 0.000105 0.000125 0.000148 0.000177 0.000213 0.000255 0.000309
2025-07-27 0.000088 0.000111 0.000139 0.000176 0.000224 0.000286 0.000370
2025-08-03 0.000078 0.000103 0.000135 0.000179 0.000239 0.000321 0.000439
2025-08-10 0.000069 0.000094 0.000128 0.000176 0.000246 0.000344 0.000495
2025-08-17 0.000062 0.000087 0.000122 0.000175 0.000253 0.000368 0.000553
2025-08-24 0.000056 0.000081 0.000116 0.000171 0.000257 0.000387 0.000605
2025-08-31 0.000050 0.000074 0.000109 0.000166 0.000256 0.000399 0.000647
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000070 0.000106 0.000166 0.000265 0.000425 0.000714
2025-09-14 0.000044 0.000068 0.000105 0.000169 0.000276 0.000458 0.000797
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000064 0.000101 0.000165 0.000278 0.000474 0.000852
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000059 0.000095 0.000159 0.000274 0.000478 0.000885
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000057 0.000093 0.000160 0.000283 0.000509 0.000977
2025-10-12 0.000033 0.000055 0.000092 0.000162 0.000296 0.000548 0.001092
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000052 0.000090 0.000161 0.000301 0.000575 0.001184
2025-10-26 0.000029 0.000051 0.000089 0.000164 0.000314 0.000617 0.001316
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000048 0.000086 0.000161 0.000317 0.000640 0.001408
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000046 0.000083 0.000160 0.000321 0.000665 0.001512
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000044 0.000080 0.000157 0.000322 0.000684 0.001600
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000041 0.000076 0.000152 0.000318 0.000691 0.001661
2025-11-30 0.000021 0.000039 0.000075 0.000152 0.000326 0.000724 0.001797
2025-12-07 0.000020 0.000039 0.000075 0.000154 0.000338 0.000771 0.001973
2025-12-14 0.000019 0.000037 0.000072 0.000152 0.000338 0.000788 0.002073